European Public Procurement Market Report, Q3 2026

Three findings and what to do with them

1. Volume is concentrated, and volume is not opportunity. Greece, Germany and Spain published 108,037 of the 190,342 competitions recorded, 56.8%. That is the notice flow, not the share of notices relevant to any one supplier; the sector-by-market tables and the country-sector matrix in the Sectors tab are the place to read relevance. Action: decide market entry from your sector's row, not from the national total.
2. Budget coverage varies sharply between markets. The United Kingdom and Spain account for €74.5bn of the €167.4bn recorded estimates below €500M. Germany published 35,260 competitions and a value is recorded on 5.5% of them. Action: filter by budget in Spain and the United Kingdom; filter by CPV and region in Germany. A priced subset is not a sample of the market.
3. Time to bid is the hidden constraint. Across the 21 markets with usable notice dates, 1 in 6 competitions that closed in the quarter (15.8%) gave bidders under two weeks; the median window runs from 12 days in Lithuania to 60 days in Netherlands. Action: set alerts on publication day and keep qualification documents ready before notices appear.

Growth statements in this report rest on the 9 comparable markets, which hold 18.9% of Q3 competitions. They describe those markets, not the whole footprint.

Quarter on quarter, where the data allows it

On the 9 markets with continuous coverage through both quarters, competitions moved from 36,623 in Q2 to 36,040 in Q3, -1.6%. One quarter of data cannot establish a seasonal pattern.

Monthly detail by market, and a growth calculator for your own selection

Latvia grew from 2,613 competitions in Q2 to 3,643 in Q3 (+39.4%); Norway fell from 3,223 to 1,866 (-42.1%), the sharpest drop in the comparable set.

Each panel shows the six months April to September with its own vertical scale; the light bars are Q2 months, the dark bars Q3 months. The panels always show all 9 comparable markets; the calculator below them combines the markets you tick.

Month	Competitions, nine comparable markets	Competitions, all 22 markets
July	12,635	70,493
August	11,634	54,939
September	11,771	64,910

The 9 comparable markets (18.9% of Q3 competitions) contracted -1.6% quarter on quarter; within them, September (11,771) was +1.2% on August. Across all 22 markets September reached 64,910 competitions, +18.1% on August; the two populations differ and the footprint figure includes markets without a comparable history.

Population: 72,663 competitions recorded April to September 2026 in 9 markets.

Calculate combined growth for the markets you select

The panels above do not change with this selection; only the sentence below does.

MarketsAllNone

Estonia Latvia Lithuania Poland United Kingdom Denmark Finland Norway Netherlands

What explains the quarter-on-quarter change

The comparable-market decline of 583 competitions is driven by Norway (-1,357), Lithuania (-645) and Estonia (-644); the energy and utilities increase of +368 comes mainly from Poland and Latvia.

Show the decomposition by market and by sector

Market	Q2	Q3	Change	Change %
Norway	3,223	1,866	-1,357	-42.1%
Lithuania	5,850	5,205	-645	-11.0%
Estonia	2,618	1,974	-644	-24.6%
Finland	4,201	3,953	-248	-5.9%
Denmark	1,056	977	-79	-7.5%
Netherlands	1,866	1,911	+45	+2.4%
United Kingdom	5,277	5,595	+318	+6.0%
Poland	9,919	10,916	+997	+10.1%
Latvia	2,613	3,643	+1,030	+39.4%

Sector (comparable markets)	Q2	Q3	Change	Change %	Markets responsible
Energy & Utilities	1,051	1,419	+368	+35.0%	Poland +142; Latvia +117; United Kingdom +62
Transportation	2,242	2,470	+228	+10.2%	Poland +324; Latvia +69; Lithuania -59
Telecommunications	683	642	-41	-6.0%	United Kingdom -41; Poland +19; Norway -16
Industrial & Materials	1,882	1,834	-48	-2.6%	United Kingdom +68; Norway -65; Estonia -43
Facilities Management	4,703	4,638	-65	-1.4%	Norway -146; Latvia +110; Estonia -62
Agriculture & Food	1,440	1,356	-84	-5.8%	Lithuania -58; Poland -55; Latvia +53
Public Administration	818	704	-114	-13.9%	Norway -35; Poland -34; Finland -26
Education	887	732	-155	-17.5%	Poland -99; Norway -30; United Kingdom -28
Construction	10,961	10,765	-196	-1.8%	Poland +1,063; Norway -526; Estonia -317
IT & Software	2,707	2,498	-209	-7.7%	Lithuania -103; Poland -101; United Kingdom +100
Professional Services	5,527	5,299	-228	-4.1%	Norway -213; United Kingdom +168; Netherlands +141
Healthcare	3,388	3,020	-368	-10.9%	Poland -214; Norway -103; Estonia -70

Other, uncoded, and sectors without measurable growth: +329, residual to the market total.

Volume and recorded value

The 22 markets recorded 190,342 competitions between 1 July and 30 September 2026. 105,282 of them, 55.3%, carry a recorded estimated value. After the value screens, 105,237 priced competitions remain, and their values total €267.9bn; 100 notices at or above €500M, most of them British framework agreements whose value is a ceiling rather than committed spend, account for €100.5bn. The recorded estimates below €500M total €167.4bn. 2 notices whose values were shown to be wrong (€4.1bn together) are excluded from every value figure.

Both figures are buyers' published estimates, not spend. The steps from all recorded values to these two figures are in the box below.

How the reported values were calculated

Greece alone contributed 46,597 competitions, 24.5% of the footprint, with a median recorded value of €7k: the Greek feed carries small-purchase invitations that other registers do not publish as tenders. Excluding Greece, the footprint recorded 143,745 competitions and €157.6bn of recorded estimates below €500M.

United Kingdom values: of two notices checked against the official register, one is stored with 20% VAT included and one without. The share of British values that include VAT is unknown, so they may be overstated by up to a fifth where VAT was included. Notice counts are counts of notices, not of procurement procedures: one framework can be published more than once.

From €10.4tn of recorded values to the €167.4bn headline value

Step 1, in trillions: the cap at €5bn

Step 2, in billions: the remaining screens

€10.1tn sits in 27 notices at or above €5bn, excluded pending verification; that one cap takes €10.4tn of recorded estimates down to €278.4bn, and the remaining screens take it to the €167.4bn the report works with. The two charts share no scale: the first is in trillions, the second in billions.

Population: 190,342 competitions, Q3 2026.

Step	Recorded value
All recorded estimates on Q3 competitions	€10,383.6bn
Less: values at or above €5bn, excluded pending verification	−€10,105.2bn
Under €5bn	€278.4bn
Less: catalogues and frameworks with a deadline more than 12 months after publication	−€6.4bn
Less: values shown to be wrong	−€4.1bn
Retained recorded value	€267.9bn
Less: notices at or above €500M (size filter; most are framework ceilings)	−€100.5bn
Recorded estimates below €500M (the value basis of this report)	€167.4bn

The notice-type table applies only the €5bn cap, which is why its competition value differs from the retained value here.

Values shown to be wrong, removed from every figure

Market	Notice ID	Recorded value	Reason
Greece	1786611206	€2.4bn	value not credible for a short-notice Greek invitation
Spain	1359559291	€1.7bn	value is 100 times the base budget of the official notice (€16,754,259.84 before VAT, estimated value €20,105,111.81; contrataciondelestado.es, document checked 2 Oct 2026)

Three populations: competitions, pre-procurement notices, award notices

Four feeds mix notice types. The United Kingdom, Germany and Lithuania carry a status that identifies award notices (their "deadline" is the award date), the United Kingdom also marks planning notices, and Finland writes the type in the title. Every figure in this report except this table is computed on competitions.

Population	Q3 notices	Q2 notices (coverage differs, see note)	With recorded value	Recorded value (under €5bn, before other screens)	Markets where identified
Competitions (headline population)	190,342	190,600	55.3%	€278.4bn	Greece 46,597, Germany 35,260, Spain 26,180, France 18,907
Pre-procurement notices	1,066	1,060	43.6%	€43.8bn	United Kingdom 646, Finland 420
Award notices	7,394	9,708	31.9%	€15.2bn	Germany 4,112, Lithuania 1,655, United Kingdom 1,266, Finland 361

Award notices are 3.7% of all Q3 notices in the footprint and carry €15.2bn of recorded value; including awards and planning notices as tenders would add 1,912 notices to the United Kingdom (1,266 awards and 646 planning notices).

The Q2 column covers only the markets whose feed existed in Q2 and is not comparable with the Q3 column as a total; the comparable nine-market pair is 36,623 to 36,040 competitions. Feeds without a notice-type field may still contain award or planning notices that cannot be identified; "competition" means a notice not identified as an award or pre-procurement notice. The classification rule is applied identically to Q2 and Q3.

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Your market

Monthly figures are recorded notice flow; coverage and backfilling should be checked before reading them as changes in demand. Values and sizes describe the priced subset; windows exclude placeholder deadlines.

Market profiles

QoQ volume n/a: no comparable Q2 data for that market (its feed did not cover the whole of Q2), not "no change". * n/a: fewer than half of the market's competitions carry a recorded value, so no total is given. Median, mean and 90th percentile are shown only where at least 100 competitions carry a value; means are distorted by framework ceilings. Recorded estimates below €500M are shown only where at least half of competitions carry a value. A priced subset may not represent the whole market: missing values can concentrate in particular procedures or sizes. Values converted at ECB reference rates of 30 September 2026: GBP 0.85463, SEK 11.331, NOK 10.9015, DKK 7.4755, PLN 4.369, CZK 24.44, CHF 0.9478 per euro.

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What to do: a company that bids on contracts under €500k should weight its search toward Spain, Estonia and Portugal, where nearly every competition carries a value, and toward Latvia, Lithuania and Czechia, where the same pattern holds among the priced notices but fewer than half of competitions are priced; a company selling €1M-plus projects should weight it toward Denmark, Norway, Sweden and United Kingdom, and toward Netherlands with the same reservation. For Poland, Germany and Belgium the bands describe too small a priced subset to characterise the market.

Share of priced competitions by recorded value. The bands describe only the priced subset of each market; the "priced share" beside each bar is the evidence weight, and in Poland, Germany and Belgium under 7% of competitions are priced.

The bands describe the priced subset; where under half of notices are priced (Poland, Germany, Belgium, France, Slovenia and others) they cannot characterise the market.

"Priced share" counts any recorded value; "priced competitions" counts values under €5bn with a deadline within 12 months of publication, after the value screens, so the two differ slightly (United Kingdom 5,209 against 93.5% of 5,595). The 19 markets shown account for all 105,237 screened priced competitions; Switzerland, Luxembourg and Slovakia have no recorded values in this dataset.

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Sectors group CPV divisions using Tendly's category names. 186,410 competitions carry a valid CPV code; 3,932 do not (including 39 with a malformed code) and are excluded from this tab. Values are recorded estimates below €500M, the same basis as the Overview and Markets tabs.

Analyst view

The volume sectors (construction, facilities, professional services) are where Greek, Spanish and German notices concentrate; the value sectors (healthcare, energy, transport) carry the largest recorded amounts per notice. The largest single framework ceiling recorded this quarter (€4.2bn, United Kingdom) exceeds Lithuania's entire recorded estimates below €500M for the quarter (€619.4M); a ceiling is an upper bound on what the framework may be used for, not revenue. Energy and transportation were the only core sectors to grow on the comparable markets while total volume fell; the decomposition in the Overview tab shows which markets drove that. The data shows the movement, not the cause.

Core sectors ranked by volume, with value, growth and leading markets

Energy and utilities grew +35.0% and transportation +10.2% on the comparable markets; every other sector with measurable growth fell, education the most at -17.5%.

Growth is measured on the 9 comparable markets as the full sum of each sector's divisions. Greece leads most sectors by notice count because of its small-purchase feed; the leading-markets column excludes it. Share of a market's own competitions that fall in the sector, for markets with at least 500 competitions.

Sector by market: where an IT, healthcare, construction or energy supplier should look

For four sectors, the markets with the most competitions in that sector, with the share of the market's own competitions, the priced share, the median recorded value, and the median bidding window (closed competitions with a deadline after publication). Greece is omitted from the window columns.

Where each market buys: the country-sector matrix

Denominator: the 186,370 competitions in the 13 grouped sectors. Excluded: 3,972 competitions, of which 2,197 have no CPV code, 1,735 an empty or malformed code (1,696 of them French), and 40 a valid code outside the mapping. Rows sum to 100% within rounding. Read a row to see what a market buys; read a column to see where a sector is strongest. Shading scales to the largest cell (63.7%).

SectorHighlight a sectorConstructionProfessional ServicesFacilities ManagementHealthcareTransportationIT & SoftwareIndustrial & MaterialsAgriculture & FoodPublic AdministrationEnergy & UtilitiesTelecommunicationsEducationDefence & Security

MarketHighlight a marketGreeceGermanySpainFrancePolandPortugalUnited KingdomLithuaniaBelgiumCzechiaFinlandLatviaSwedenSwitzerlandSloveniaEstoniaNetherlandsNorwayIrelandDenmarkSlovakiaLuxembourg

Share of the market's coded competitions:

0%16%32%48%64%

Click a column heading to rank the markets by that sector.

Market	CON	PRO	FAC	HEA	TRA	IT	IND	AGR	PUB	ENE	TEL	EDU	DEF
Greece	13%	15%	20%	13%	8%	7%	6%	4%	6%	4%	1%	0%	2%
Germany	52%	13%	12%	2%	5%	5%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Spain	26%	16%	16%	7%	8%	7%	4%	3%	5%	3%	2%	2%	1%
France	26%	25%	19%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	1%	1%	0%
Poland	45%	8%	11%	6%	9%	5%	3%	5%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%
Portugal	24%	12%	15%	14%	9%	9%	4%	5%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%
United Kingdom	20%	22%	13%	12%	4%	8%	5%	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	1%
Lithuania	27%	11%	13%	13%	6%	8%	7%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%
Belgium	40%	15%	13%	6%	4%	6%	5%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Czechia	22%	9%	18%	7%	5%	11%	11%	3%	3%	4%	4%	1%	3%
Finland	28%	16%	13%	9%	9%	9%	6%	3%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Latvia	23%	18%	16%	7%	6%	4%	6%	6%	3%	7%	2%	1%	1%
Sweden	25%	19%	10%	8%	7%	9%	8%	4%	2%	4%	3%	1%	1%
Switzerland	52%	17%	10%	1%	4%	6%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%
Slovenia	29%	12%	13%	9%	11%	9%	6%	4%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%
Estonia	30%	16%	12%	10%	6%	7%	7%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%
Netherlands	14%	27%	13%	6%	7%	11%	5%	7%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%
Norway	26%	16%	20%	5%	7%	11%	6%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%
Ireland	26%	25%	14%	3%	5%	9%	5%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	0%
Denmark	15%	24%	21%	11%	6%	7%	7%	1%	2%	4%	1%	1%	0%
Slovakia	50%	7%	11%	6%	5%	7%	4%	4%	0%	3%	1%	0%	1%
Luxembourg	64%	13%	6%	1%	2%	7%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%

Column keys: CON Construction; PRO Professional Services; FAC Facilities Management; HEA Healthcare; TRA Transportation; IT IT & Software; IND Industrial & Materials; AGR Agriculture & Food; PUB Public Administration; ENE Energy & Utilities; TEL Telecommunications; EDU Education; DEF Defence & Security

Population: 186,370 competitions in the 13 grouped sectors, Q3 2026.

Top 12 CPV divisions

More columns

CPV	Category	Competitions	Share	Recorded estimates below €500M	Largest market	QoQ volume
45	Construction	48,762	26.2%	€40.1bn	Germany	-1.2%
71	Architecture & Engineering	12,755	6.8%	€9.2bn	Germany	-11.6%
79	Business Services	11,703	6.3%	€10.3bn	Greece	-9.5%
33	Medical Equipment	10,687	5.7%	€12.4bn	Greece	-10.8%
50	Repair & Maintenance	10,421	5.6%	€6.7bn	Greece	-0.4%
34	Transport Equipment	8,585	4.6%	€4.9bn	Greece	+5.0%
90	Environmental Services	8,314	4.5%	€6.6bn	Greece	+6.4%
72	IT Services	5,350	2.9%	€7.2bn	Greece	-9.2%
39	Furniture	5,255	2.8%	€1.8bn	Greece	-6.0%
44	Construction Materials	5,079	2.7%	€2.4bn	Greece	-11.0%
30	Office Equipment	3,977	2.1%	€3.8bn	Greece	-13.6%
85	Health Services	3,329	1.8%	€13.7bn	Spain	-10.9%

Construction work (CPV 45) alone is 26.2% of all coded competitions, 48,762 notices, and Germany is its largest market. Health services (CPV 85) carry €13.7bn on 3,329 competitions, the highest value per notice of any large division.

Population: 186,410 competitions with a valid CPV code, Q3 2026; growth on 9 comparable markets.

Keyword matches for named technologies

A keyword match is a competition whose title or buyer name contains the term, found through the database full-text index across original and English titles. Because buyer names are included, a "hospital" match may be a hospital buying cleaning, and a "defence" match may be a defence agency buying anything; matches measure where a term appears, not what is bought. The terms are not nested in one another.

PV: photovoltaic; AI: artificial intelligence; EV: electric vehicle.

Artificial intelligence has 95 keyword matches across the footprint, led by Spain (34) and the Baltics; hydrogen 71, led by Germany.

What to do: set keyword alerts on the terms that are growing (defence, hydrogen, photovoltaic) in the markets that lead them, and read the notice before treating a match as demand for the technology.

On the markets that can be compared, notice counts rose in energy and transport and fell in education and public administration, while defence-related keyword matches also increased. The data shows the movement, not the cause.

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Most active buyers in every market

Values are recorded estimates before the €500M size filter, less the 1 notice shown to be wrong, which the buyer sums in the frozen file still included. Buyer concentration ranges from 2.5% to 54.9% of a market's competitions in its ten most active buyers; Czechia is the most concentrated, France the least.

Two markets in detail: Estonia and Lithuania

Buyers for all 22 markets, by number of competitions, are above; the two markets below are shown in more detail. The value rankings cover recorded values only; Lithuania records a value on 45.3% of competitions, so its value ranking describes that priced subset.

Estonia: top buyers by value and by number of competitions

Estonia: Tervisekassa leads the buyers by recorded value

Tervisekassa published 8 competitions worth €703.5M, up from €94.4M in Q2, almost all of it one €700.0M medicines notice; Riigi Kaitseinvesteeringute Keskus fell from €700.4M to €497.2M.

Population: 1,974 Estonian competitions, Q3 2026; value is the recorded estimate before the €500M size filter.

Buyer	Competitions	Q3 recorded value	Q2 recorded value
Tervisekassa	8	€703.5M	€94.4M
Riigi Kaitseinvesteeringute Keskus	20	€497.2M	€700.4M
Elering AS	18	€167.7M	€23.2M
Tallinna Linnavaraamet	9	€122.6M	€13.4M
Tartu Linnavalitsus	23	€112.3M	€23.1M
Riigi Kinnisvara Aktsiaselts	26	€102.5M	€10.1M
sihtasutus Põhja-Eesti Regionaalhaigla	35	€58.3M	€78.4M
Riigi Info- ja Kommunikatsioonitehnoloogia Keskus	4	€40.3M	€15.3M
Riigi Tugiteenuste Keskus	69	€37.7M	€81.8M
Tervise ja Heaolu Infosüsteemide Keskus	4	€25.6M	€19.4M

Approach: Estonian value is concentrated in a handful of state agencies with repeat procurement calendars. The five largest buyers held 64.0% of all recorded value in the country this quarter, so a vendor should track them by name.

Estonia: top 10 buyers by number of competitions

Buyer	Competitions	Q3 recorded value
Elektrilevi OÜ	177	€23.1M
Riigi Tugiteenuste Keskus	69	€37.7M
Enefit Industry OÜ	58	€17.2M
Aktsiaselts Ida-Tallinna Keskhaigla	55	€13.5M
Transpordiamet	44	€18.3M
sihtasutus Tartu Ülikooli Kliinikum	43	€20.4M
Enefit Power OÜ	39	€5.8M
Riigimetsa Majandamise Keskus	36	€12.5M
sihtasutus Põhja-Eesti Regionaalhaigla	35	€58.3M
Aktsiaselts Lääne-Tallinna Keskhaigla	33	€11.2M

Lithuania: top buyers by value and by number of competitions

Lithuania: VšĮ Vilniaus pirkimų agentūra leads the buyers by recorded value

VšĮ Vilniaus pirkimų agentūra led with €126.6M on 143 competitions; Kauno miesto savivaldybės administracija fell from €209.1M to €61.1M. The five largest buyers held 43.0% of recorded value.

Population: 5,205 Lithuanian competitions, Q3 2026; a value is recorded on 45.3%.

Buyer	Competitions	Q3 recorded value	Q2 recorded value
VšĮ Vilniaus pirkimų agentūra	143	€126.6M	€51.4M
Kauno miesto savivaldybės administracija	67	€61.1M	€209.1M
UAB Ignitis grupės paslaugų centras (PV)	113	€37.5M	€32.7M
VšĮ Vilniaus universiteto ligoninė Santaros klinikos (PV)	151	€20.8M	€20.6M
Viešoji įstaiga CPO LT	89	€20.6M	€23.4M
Greitosios medicinos pagalbos tarnyba (PV)	8	€16.9M	€10.2M
Vilniaus rajono savivaldybės administracija	30	€14.1M	€3.8M
Šiaulių apskaitos centras	52	€13.1M	€11.2M
Lietuvos kariuomenės Karinių oro pajėgų Aviacijos bazė	50	€9.2M	€4.9M
Kretingos rajono savivaldybės administracija	22	€9.1M	not in Q2 top 60

Approach: Lithuanian volume runs through its university hospitals, which take the first two places by number of competitions (Lietuvos sveikatos mokslų universiteto ligoninė Kauno klinikos (PV): 157; VšĮ Vilniaus universiteto ligoninė Santaros klinikos (PV): 151), and through central purchasing bodies and municipal administrations that publish hundreds of notices a quarter. Each central body sets its own admission route; check it before planning a bid.

Lithuania: top 10 buyers by number of competitions

Buyer	Competitions	Q3 recorded value
Lietuvos sveikatos mokslų universiteto ligoninė Kauno klinikos (PV)	157	€2.2M
VšĮ Vilniaus universiteto ligoninė Santaros klinikos (PV)	151	€20.8M
VšĮ Vilniaus pirkimų agentūra	143	€126.6M
UAB Ignitis grupės paslaugų centras (PV)	113	€37.5M
VšĮ Klaipėdos universiteto ligoninė (Perkančioji organizacija)	112	€154k
Viešoji įstaiga CPO LT	89	€20.6M
LTG Kompetencijų centras UAB (PV)	78	€6.6M
Lietuvos sveikatos mokslų universitetas (PV)	75	€3.9M
Kauno miesto savivaldybės administracija	67	€61.1M
Klaipėdos miesto savivaldybės administracija	65	€3.6M

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Scope of the two rankings: the ranking by competitions covers the 8 markets with a usable regional distribution, Greece excluded; the ranking by value below includes Greece and excludes the United Kingdom, whose values are dominated by framework ceilings. Region values exclude the 2 screened notices.

Regional coverage by market

NUTS region codes are present on 96.6% of competitions. 9 markets spread their notices over several top-level regions with none above 80%. Greece is shown separately: its small-purchase feed puts its regions above every other region in the footprint (Kentriki Elláda 13,367, Attiki 11,520, Voreia Elláda 11,055). The ranking covers the other markets in that group. In 10 markets one region holds 80% or more of coded notices, or there is a single domestic code, so a ranking would say nothing: Lithuania, Czechia, Finland, Latvia, Switzerland, Slovenia, Norway, Ireland, Slovakia and Denmark. Estonia and Portugal carry only a country-level code, and Luxembourg carries no domestic region code in the data at all. Region values exclude the 2 screened notices at notice level.

Regions by recorded value

Recorded value after the value screen and before the €500M size filter, which cannot be applied per region in this edition, so this ranking includes ceilings that the main value rankings exclude; value coverage per region is not shown. The United Kingdom is excluded because framework ceilings dominate its values.

Ile-de-France carries €13.8bn of recorded value on 3,343 competitions; Madrid's €7.0bn sits on 3,545.

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What to do: in markets with a median under three weeks (Spain, Latvia, Estonia, Poland, Slovenia, Portugal, Czechia and Lithuania) start reviewing notices on publication day and keep qualification documents ready before the notice appears.

Measured on competitions whose deadline fell inside the quarter, from notice publication to deadline. Greece is excluded (its short-notice invitations have a 6-day median). Notices whose deadline is on or before their publication date are excluded: after the removal of award notices they are placeholder deadlines, 2.0% of the quarter's competitions, concentrated in Finland (38.5%) and Greece (2.9%).

Finland's feed also carries notices that are not competitions; 781 were excluded by their names before any figure was computed: market dialogue 420; award notice 190; DPS call-off 90; cancellation notice 50; direct award notice 29; correction notice 2.

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Q3 competitions with a deadline after 6 October 2026, by market and month of deadline

Of the 32,270 notices published in Q3 that qualify, 32,020 have a deadline in Q4 2026 and 250 in 2027 or later; 88.0% of the qualifying notices close in October.

Selection rule: competitions published in Q3 whose deadline falls after 6 October 2026 and whose status is not cancelled. The rule does not verify that each notice is still accessible or unchanged; it is a list to work from, not a verified pipeline. 32,270 competitions qualify, 12,993 with a recorded value (€107.5bn together); of those, 7,616 are under €500k and 3,701 are €1M or more.

Germany holds 8,202 of the qualifying notices and France 5,543; Construction has the most qualifying notices with 10,246.

What to do: start the Q4 shortlist from the October and November deadlines, and check each notice on its register before committing effort.

Where to focus next quarter

By business goal: markets, evidence, next action and limitation

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Business goal	Markets to investigate	Evidence	Next action	Limitation
Win contracts under €500k	Spain, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal and Czechia	82% to 92% of priced competitions under €500k; priced share 38% or more	Filter by value and CPV; alert on publication day (median windows 12 to 20 days)	Latvia prices 45%, Lithuania 45% and Czechia 38% of competitions, so their size patterns describe the priced notices, not the whole market
Win contracts of €1M or more	Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, Sweden and United Kingdom	35% or more of priced competitions at €1M+; median windows 29 to 60 days	Build a shortlist of buyers from the Buyers tab; prepare for framework places in the UK	Large UK estimates are often framework ceilings, and some recorded values include VAT; the Netherlands prices 38% of competitions, so its size pattern describes the priced notices
Enter the largest notice flow	Germany	35,260 competitions, 5.5% priced; Nordrhein-Westfalen and Bayern alone 9,319 notices	Filter by CPV and region, not value; median window 29 days	Contract sizes cannot be characterised from the priced 6%
Follow growth	Latvia, Poland	+39.4% and +10.1% quarter on quarter on comparable markets	Review the Latvian buyer list in the Buyers tab; for Poland work from CPV	Nine markets have a comparable prior quarter; Poland prices 3% of notices
Sell into growing sectors	Energy and utilities, transportation (9 comparable markets)	+35.0% and +10.2% while other sectors fell; energy growth from Poland and Latvia	Use the sector-by-market tables in the Sectors tab to pick the market	One quarter of growth on nine markets

Five opportunities for next quarter, with the figures behind them

1. Spain for budget-led selling. 26,180 competitions, 99.5% with a recorded value and a median of €77k: the only large market where a supplier can filter the whole flow by budget.
2. Germany for volume, with a different method. 35,260 competitions, 5.5% with a recorded value. Filtering must run on CPV and region (Nordrhein-Westfalen and Bayern together recorded 9,319), not on value.
3. The United Kingdom for frameworks. 69 notices at or above €500M, together €76.7bn of ceilings, on top of €53.0bn of recorded estimates below €500M: the market where framework places, not single contracts, carry the largest recorded amounts.
4. Latvia and Poland for growth. The two fastest-growing comparable markets (+39.4% and +10.1%). Latvia's priced competitions (44.7% of its notices) have a median of €48k and 91% are under €500k; Poland prices only 3.0% of its notices, too few to characterise contract sizes.
5. Energy and transport buyers for next quarter's pipeline. The only two core sectors that grew on the 9 comparable markets (+35.0% and +10.2%), driven by Poland and Latvia in energy; build the shortlist from Q3 notices now and prepare for Q4 2026.

Examples from Q3: what the competitions looked like

Examples from the quarter that has closed, not upcoming deadlines; the status column shows whether each was still open on 6 October 2026.

Five competitions from the quarter, across markets and sizes

Values are as recorded by the buyer; framework agreements state a ceiling, not committed spend. Spanish notices at or above €100M are not featured pending a check of the Spanish value field.

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Market	Notice ID	Reference	Buyer	Tender	Category	Recorded value	Deadline	Status on 6 October 2026
United Kingdom	1200600450	077303-2026	Crescent Purchasing Consortium Limited	Building Cleaning Services 5	Environmental Services	€4.2bn (includes VAT; official €3.5bn before VAT)	2026-09-15	closed
Portugal	272213884	19111/2026	Metro do Porto, SA	Public Tender with International Advertisement for the Subconcession of the Light Rail Sy…	Transport Services	€465.1M	2026-10-21	open
Netherlands	1410319417	614372	Schiphol Nederland B.V.	Framework Agreement C. Integral Terminal Projects	Construction	€1.9bn	2026-11-06	open
Estonia	10462024	312050	Tervisekassa	Medicines procured by the Health Insurance Fund	Medical Equipment	€700.0M	2026-09-11	closed
Latvia	386495465	173288	Rīgas pašvaldības sabiedrība ar ierobežotu atbildību "Rīgas satiksme"	Bus delivery	Transport Equipment	€121.5M	2026-08-18	closed

Notice IDs are Tendly's internal identifiers; the reference is the register's own number. Status compares the deadline with 6 October 2026; closed notices are historical examples.

Six examples of contracts under €500k

Picked by record order, not by value, from the 105,237 priced competitions; one under €100k and one between €100k and €500k from each of three markets.

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Market	Notice ID	Buyer	Tender	Category	Recorded value	Deadline	Status on 6 October 2026
Spain	215446	Presidencia de la Diputación Provincial…	Supply of standing and transfer hoists to the Provincial Home Antonio Fernández…	Medical Equipment	€25k	2026-08-07	closed
Spain	258022	Empresa de Transformación Agraria S.A.,…	UT2-Supply of gabion mesh for the design and execution of the renaturalization…	Construction Materials	€118k	2026-08-07	closed
Estonia	9366944	Sihtasutus Narva Linna Arendus	Interior of Äkkeküla service building	Furniture	€87k	2026-09-07	closed
Estonia	8759964	Elering AS	L086 Kiisa - Harku reconstruction main project	Architecture & Engineering	€200k	2026-07-21	closed
Poland	18617117	UNIWERSYTET JANA KOCHANOWSKIEGO W KIELC…	Execution of renovation and construction works, sheet metal and roofing on the…	Construction	€32k	2026-07-22	closed
Poland	230045	TRZY FALE SPÓŁKA Z OGRANICZONĄ ODPOWIED…	Execution of works related to the finishing of a sauna and the installation of…	Construction	€194k	2026-08-18	closed

Across the two tables the range runs from €25k to €4.2bn: the same quarter holds national framework ceilings and single municipal contracts.

Population: largest recorded value per listed market, and a record-order sample of competitions under €500k, Q3 2026.

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